Should You Buy Ethereum While It’s Down 45% This Year?

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Ethereum (ETH) has faced significant price pressure in recent months, shedding roughly 45% of its value year-to-date. While such a steep drop might appear to present a compelling buying opportunity, investors should approach with caution. Despite maintaining its position as the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, Ethereum is navigating a complex landscape marked by growing competition, leadership changes, and underwhelming long-term performance.

This article dives into the key factors shaping Ethereum’s current trajectory — from technological limitations and shifting developer sentiment to structural changes within the Ethereum Foundation — helping you decide whether now is the right time to invest.

Ethereum’s Competitive Edge Is Fading

When Ethereum launched smart contracts in 2015, it revolutionized blockchain technology. For years, it was the go-to platform for launching decentralized applications (dApps), non-fungible tokens (NFTs), and decentralized finance (DeFi) protocols. By the end of 2020, Ethereum dominated 96% of the total value locked (TVL) in DeFi, according to DeFiLlama.

However, its early dominance is eroding. The network processes only 15 to 20 transactions per second (tps), and although average gas fees currently sit around $0.39, they can spike dramatically during periods of high congestion — exceeding $10 at peak times in previous years.

These limitations have opened the door for faster, lower-cost alternatives. Solana, for instance, regularly handles over 4,000 tps with average transaction fees of just $0.00025. As a result, Solana and other emerging blockchains like Tron and Cardano are capturing market share once held almost exclusively by Ethereum.

Today, Ethereum’s share of DeFi TVL has dropped to 53%. More telling, while Ethereum led developer adoption from 2016 through 2023, Solana became the most popular blockchain for new developers in 2024. This shift signals a broader trend: innovation is no longer synonymous with Ethereum.

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Leadership Turmoil at the Ethereum Foundation

Another red flag for potential investors is the recent upheaval within the Ethereum Foundation — the nonprofit organization responsible for guiding Ethereum’s development through research, funding, and ecosystem support.

Growing dissatisfaction among the community has centered on perceived stagnation in addressing long-standing issues like scalability and transaction speed. Critics argue the foundation has been slow to adapt, especially as competitors deliver faster upgrades and more efficient networks.

In January 2025, co-founder Vitalik Buterin acknowledged these concerns, announcing major changes to the foundation’s leadership structure. The goal? To bring in fresh talent, strengthen technical expertise, and establish a formal board of directors. Notably, Buterin emphasized that he alone would oversee the selection of new leaders.

While leadership renewal could revitalize Ethereum’s roadmap, such internal restructuring introduces uncertainty. Cryptocurrencies thrive on momentum and confidence — both of which can waver during periods of organizational transition. For investors considering a buy-the-dip strategy, this instability adds another layer of risk.

A Long-Term Decline, Not Just a Short-Term Dip

It’s important to recognize that Ethereum’s current slump isn’t an isolated event — it’s part of a longer downward trend. Over the past year, ETH has declined nearly 50%, underperforming not only Bitcoin but also rivals like Solana, Cardano, and Tron.

Looking back three years, Ethereum has lost over 45% of its value — a performance roughly on par with Cardano but significantly trailing Bitcoin, Solana, and Tron. This extended underperformance raises questions about whether Ethereum can reclaim its former momentum or if its best days are behind it.

To be fair, Ethereum still boasts strong brand recognition and a vast user base. Its ecosystem remains deep and diverse, hosting thousands of dApps and serving as a backbone for major Web3 initiatives. However, in a rapidly evolving crypto landscape, past success doesn’t guarantee future returns.

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Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

Q: Is Ethereum still a good investment despite its price drop?
A: While the lower price may seem attractive, Ethereum faces structural challenges including competition and slow innovation. It may be wiser to wait for clear signs of improvement in scalability and developer engagement before investing.

Q: Why is Ethereum losing developers to other blockchains?
A: Developers are drawn to platforms offering faster transaction speeds, lower costs, and better tooling. Blockchains like Solana provide superior performance and user experience, making them more appealing for new projects.

Q: How does Ethereum compare to Bitcoin in terms of long-term performance?
A: Over the last three years, Bitcoin has significantly outperformed Ethereum. While both are down from all-time highs, Bitcoin has shown greater resilience and stronger recovery patterns during market upswings.

Q: Could Ethereum recover if upgrades succeed?
A: Yes — successful implementation of scalability solutions like rollups and further protocol enhancements could restore confidence. However, execution risk remains high, and progress must be consistent to win back market share.

Q: What role does the Ethereum Foundation play in ETH’s future?
A: The foundation drives core research and funding decisions. Leadership reforms may lead to faster innovation, but their impact won’t be evident immediately. Investors should monitor governance developments closely.

Q: Are there better alternatives to Ethereum right now?
A: Several blockchains — particularly Solana and Tron — offer faster speeds and lower fees while gaining traction in DeFi and NFTs. These networks are increasingly seen as more efficient alternatives to Ethereum.

Final Thoughts: Wait Before Buying In

Ethereum remains a foundational pillar of the crypto ecosystem. But being foundational doesn’t always translate to being the best investment.

The combination of declining market share, sluggish transaction performance, rising competition, and leadership uncertainty paints a cautious picture. While a turnaround is possible — especially if upcoming upgrades deliver meaningful improvements — there’s no guarantee it will happen soon.

For now, investors may find better opportunities in more agile and efficient blockchains that are already demonstrating strong growth and developer momentum.

Rather than rushing to “buy the dip,” consider holding off until Ethereum shows tangible progress in addressing its core challenges. Patience could save you from catching a falling knife — and position you to enter at a stronger point down the road.

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