Hong Kong’s new regulatory framework for stablecoins, effective August 1, 2025, marks a pivotal moment in the evolution of digital finance in Asia. For investors tracking the region’s virtual asset ecosystem, this milestone offers a clear roadmap of opportunities across issuance, trading, and financial infrastructure. With global stablecoin market capitalization surpassing $230 billion—and projections pointing to sustained growth—the city’s strategic push into regulated digital currencies is drawing significant institutional attention.
This article unpacks the key players, business models, and investment implications within Hong Kong’s emerging stablecoin ecosystem, guided by insights from leading financial analysts at JPMorgan and Guosen Securities.
The Global Stablecoin Landscape: A Market Dominated by Giants
Stablecoins are no longer niche tools for crypto traders—they’ve evolved into foundational components of the global financial system. According to Guosen Securities, two major players dominate the market:
- Tether (USDT): Over $150 billion in circulation
- Circle (USDC): More than $60 billion in circulation
Together, they account for nearly 87% of the total market share, primarily due to their 1:1 peg to the U.S. dollar and backing by real-world assets like cash and short-term U.S. Treasury bonds.
JPMorgan categorizes stablecoins into four distinct types:
- Off-chain (Fiat-backed): Backed by reserves such as USD or government bonds (e.g., USDT, USDC). These are the most trusted and heavily regulated.
- On-chain (Crypto-collateralized): Secured by over-collateralized digital assets like Bitcoin (e.g., Dai).
- Commodity-backed: Tied to physical assets like gold (e.g., Tether Gold).
- Algorithmic: Rely on code and market incentives to maintain value (e.g., the now-defunct UST), which carries high risk due to lack of collateral.
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For Hong Kong, the focus will be squarely on off-chain, fiat-backed stablecoins, given their regulatory clarity and lower systemic risk. This alignment positions the city as a bridge between traditional finance and blockchain innovation.
How Stablecoin Issuers Make Money: The Hidden Engine of Returns
The profitability of stablecoin issuers lies not in trading fees or speculation—but in interest generated from reserve assets.
Take Circle, issuer of USDC, as a case study. When users purchase $1 worth of USDC, Circle holds that dollar in reserve. As per their 2024 financial report:
- Over 80% of reserves are invested in short-term U.S. Treasury funds managed by BlackRock.
- The remaining 10–20% is held as cash in globally systemically important banks.
- In 2024, reserve interest accounted for 99% of Circle’s total revenue.
This model is simple yet powerful: issuers earn risk-free returns on massive pools of user deposits. Their profit depends on two factors—the size of their circulating supply and prevailing interest rates.
However, Hong Kong regulators have made one thing clear: stablecoin holders cannot earn interest directly. Unlike some offshore platforms offering yield-bearing stablecoins, Hong Kong prohibits issuers from paying interest to users. This means investors must shift strategies—from holding stablecoins for yield to viewing them as gateways for efficient transactions, cross-border payments, and DeFi access.
Who Benefits from Hong Kong’s Stablecoin Boom?
As the Stablecoin Ordinance takes effect on August 1, 2025, a competitive race for licenses has begun. The key beneficiaries fall into four categories:
1. Stablecoin Issuers – The Core of the Ecosystem
The Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) launched a “Stablecoin Issuer Sandbox” in 2024, with five institutions across three groups emerging as frontrunners:
- A joint venture between Standard Chartered, ANI Group, and Hong Kong Telecom planning to launch HKDG, a Hong Kong dollar-pegged stablecoin.
- JD Blockchain Tech, aiming to issue JD-HKD for cross-border payments and supply chain finance.
- Ondc (Circle Innovation Tech) partnering with Cobo and LianLian Global to launch HKDR, targeting DeFi and international remittances.
- Ant Digital Technologies (under Ant Group) has also confirmed plans to apply for a license.
Winning an HKMA license grants access to a lucrative revenue stream via reserve income—making these issuers the prime candidates to capture the largest slice of the economic pie.
2. Licensed Virtual Asset Exchanges – Where Trading Happens
Exchanges serve as critical gateways for stablecoin liquidity and trading. As of June 25, the Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) has issued 11 Virtual Asset Trading Platform (VATP) licenses.
One standout is OSL Group, Hong Kong’s first licensed platform. Its 2024 revenue breakdown reveals:
- 70.2% from digital asset trading
- 24.5% from SaaS and related services
Retail trading fees range from 0.2% to 0.28%, while institutional clients enjoy lower rates between 0.15% and 0.225%. As stablecoin usage grows, so will trading volume—and exchange revenues.
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3. Brokerages & Financial Institutions – Navigating New Frontiers
Traditional brokers face indirect revenue paths compared to issuers or exchanges. However, firms like Futu (Moomoo) are positioning themselves uniquely:
- Already offering crypto trading via partnership with HashKey.
- Actively applying for its own VATP license.
- Leveraging a large retail investor base and advanced tech infrastructure.
JPMorgan notes that internet-native brokers with strong customer reach have a structural advantage over legacy financial institutions in capturing this shift.
4. Infrastructure Providers – The “Pick-and-Shovel” Winners
Behind every successful ecosystem are the enablers:
- Custodian banks like ZhongAn Bank, providing secure asset托管 for issuers.
- Asset managers like BlackRock, handling reserve investments.
- Tech providers such as Formosa Financial and Shenzhou Information, offering KYC/AML solutions, blockchain security, and payment rails.
These “water sellers” may not grab headlines, but they benefit from steady demand as the entire sector scales under regulation.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)
Q: Can I earn interest on stablecoins in Hong Kong?
A: No. The HKMA prohibits stablecoin issuers from offering interest to holders. Any yield must come indirectly through DeFi protocols or third-party financial products.
Q: What types of stablecoins will be allowed in Hong Kong?
A: The focus is on off-chain, fiat-backed stablecoins like USDT and USDC. Algorithmic or uncollateralized models are unlikely to gain approval due to stability concerns.
Q: When does Hong Kong’s stablecoin law take effect?
A: The Stablecoin Ordinance officially comes into force on August 1, 2025.
Q: Which companies are likely to get stablecoin licenses?
A: Leading candidates include Standard Chartered’s consortium, JD Blockchain, Ondc, and Ant Digital Technologies—all part of the HKMA’s sandbox program.
Q: How do licensed exchanges make money from stablecoins?
A: Through trading fees, clearing services, and SaaS solutions. OSL earns over 70% of its revenue from digital asset transactions involving stablecoins.
Q: Is Hong Kong’s market big enough to matter globally?
A: While current trading volumes are modest compared to the U.S., Hong Kong’s regulatory clarity and integration with mainland China make it a strategic gateway for Asia-focused crypto expansion.
Strategic Outlook: Who Will Win?
The winners in Hong Kong’s stablecoin revolution will be determined by three factors:
- Regulatory approval: Only HKMA-licensed issuers can legally operate.
- Technology and compliance infrastructure: Firms with robust KYC/AML systems and secure custody solutions will gain trust.
- Customer reach: Platforms with existing retail or institutional user bases—like Futu or OSL—can rapidly scale adoption.
While short-term profits may be limited due to market immaturity, long-term potential is substantial. As cross-border payments, tokenized assets, and institutional DeFi gain traction, Hong Kong is poised to become a cornerstone of Asia’s digital currency future.
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Core Keywords:
- Hong Kong stablecoin
- Stablecoin regulation
- HKMA license
- Off-chain stablecoins
- USDC issuer model
- Virtual asset exchange
- Reserve asset yield
- Fiat-backed stablecoin
By focusing on compliance, infrastructure strength, and user accessibility, investors can identify early movers in what could become one of the most transformative financial developments of 2025—and beyond.